Grounded claims · read-only · expectations first

A citation is not a check

Every regulator-grounded claim on this node, re-read today. Named refusal limb per claim, and who the refusal belongs to. The whole corpus, not a sample.

16.7%

MUST refuse rate · 1 of 6 claims · 6 still grounded at the cited URL

the headline counters did not move between the last two runs. The digests still differ because timestamps and per row detail differ.

Corpus 6 claims / 19 ledger rows · engine 748d1868d632 · run 2026-09-20 11:00 UTC · digest 0e1cba15654e4d9f

Claim	Entity	Verdict	Refuse reason	Attribution	Receipt
SEC_SAB_121	SEC	refuse	ledger_rows_agree:ledger_rows_disagree:ATTESTED-PRIMARY\|CONTRADICTED	this_node	json
FED_FEDERAL_RESERVE	FED	admit	source_is_machine_readable:html_document	publisher	json
FED_FEDNOW	FED	admit	source_is_machine_readable:html_document	publisher	json
FED_FOMC	FED	admit	source_is_machine_readable:html_document	publisher	json
SEC_INVESTMENT_CONTRACT	SEC	admit	source_is_machine_readable:html_document	publisher	json
SEC_PROTECT_INVESTORS	SEC	admit	source_is_machine_readable:html_document	publisher	json

Not a judgement about whether any claim is true · not a survey of regulator practice · the first refusal found is against this node

How to cite / re-check

expectations.json ledger.json summary.json index.json README.md

https://geniusflow-federation.vercel.app/api/verify?source_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.federalreserve.gov%2Fmonetarypolicy%2Ffomc.htm&expected=FOMC

By regulator

Regulator	Claims	MUST clear	Full clear
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System	3	3	0
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission	3	2	0

Where they refuse

Strongest failing limb	Claims
source_is_machine_readable	5
ledger_rows_agree	1

Who the refusal belongs to	Claims
publisher	5
this_node	1

Limbs

Chains are evaluated independently. A failure inside one chain stops that chain and marks the limbs after it not_reached, and it does not touch the other chains. This is deliberate: the RWA disclosure survey this node published earlier had to correct a limb that was sequenced behind an unrelated failure, made zero requests, and still scored its prediction as met.

Limb	Chain	Level	ok	fail	not reached
source_url_recorded	citation	MUST	6	0	0
expected_string_recorded	citation	MUST	6	0	0
source_resolves	citation	MUST	6	0	0
expected_string_present_in_served_bytes	citation	MUST	6	0	0
expected_string_survives_tag_stripping	citation	SHOULD	6	0	0
source_on_regulator_origin	citation	SHOULD	6	0	0
source_is_machine_readable	citation	SHOULD	0	6	0
ledger_rows_agree	record	MUST	5	1	0
citation_is_a_primary_filing	corroboration	OBSERVED	0	6	0
full_text_index_exists	corroboration	OBSERVED	3	3	0
full_text_index_answers	corroboration	OBSERVED	0	3	3
independent_filing_corroborates	corroboration	OBSERVED	0	0	6
corroborating_document_authored_by_the_regulator	corroboration	OBSERVED	0	0	6

Predictions

Prediction	Observed	Result	Blind
No claim in this corpus cites a primary filing document. Every citation is a regulator website page describing one.	0 of 6 citations were primary filings	met	no
Every claim's expected string is still present in the bytes served at its cited URL today.	6 of 6 expected strings were present in the bytes served today	met	yes
No source in this corpus serves machine readable bytes.	0 of 6 sources served machine readable bytes	met	yes
The free EDGAR full text index answers with at least one hit for every claim in this corpus that has an index to ask, and the Federal Reserve claims have none, because no free full text index exists over the Federal Reserve's own statements.	0 of 3 claims with an index answered with a hit; 3 Federal Reserve claims had no index to ask	missed	no
No claim in this corpus is corroborated by a primary document the regulator itself authored. Where a filing carries the string, the filer is a registrant describing the regulator.	0 of 6 claims were corroborated by a document the regulator authored	met	yes
This node's own ledger holds at least one claim whose rows disagree about its verdict, and the published card serves one side of that disagreement without saying the other exists.	1 of 6 claims had ledger rows that disagree	met	no
At least half the claims in this corpus are corroborated by the body of an independent primary filing the index returned.	0 of 6 claims were corroborated by an independent filing body	missed	yes

Prior art

SEC EDGAR full text search : The free index this corpus queries. It is the SEC's own service and it needs no credentials, only an identifying user agent.
SEC webmaster guidance on automated access : Sets the request ceiling and the user agent expectation this probe stays well inside.
This node's own /api/verify endpoint : The grounded string rule the corpus applies is that endpoint's rule, reproduced so any receipt can be reproduced against the live service.
This node's RWA disclosure interface survey : Published a defect against itself where a limb sequenced behind an earlier failure made zero requests and still scored its prediction as met. This corpus separates its limbs into independent chains from the start because of it.

Re-run

PYTHONPATH=engine python3 engine/tools/grounded_claim_run.py expect
PYTHONPATH=engine python3 engine/tools/grounded_claim_run.py run
PYTHONPATH=engine python3 engine/tools/grounded_claim_export.py

What this is not

This is not a judgement about whether any claim is true. A string being present in a page is evidence that the page says it, and nothing more. A string being absent is evidence that this node's grounding no longer holds, not that the fact changed.
A corroborating EDGAR filing is a registrant's document. It shows the phrase is used in a primary filing. It does not make the filer authoritative for the claim, and neither regulator in this corpus files on EDGAR as a registrant.
This is not a survey of regulator disclosure practice. The population is six claims this node already publishes, which is the whole of its regulator grounded corpus and not a sample of anything. No rate here should be read as a rate about the SEC or the Fed.
The corpus is small on purpose and the size is the finding, not a limitation being excused. Six claims is the entire regulator grounded surface this node serves.
No regulator was contacted beyond plain GETs of URLs that are already public, plus one query per claim against a public search index, with an identifying user agent carrying a contact address and request spacing an order of magnitude under the SEC's published ceiling.
The SEC full text search index covers filings from 2001 onward. A claim whose only corroborating filing predates 2001 would be recorded here as uncorroborated, and that limit belongs to the index.